Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.024892 0.027024 0.029255 0.031762 0.034504 0.037412 0.040734
2025-08-03 0.021181 0.024223 0.027586 0.031585 0.036220 0.041433 0.047753
2025-08-10 0.019060 0.022652 0.026790 0.031922 0.038138 0.045444 0.054719
2025-08-17 0.017127 0.020990 0.025589 0.031491 0.038896 0.047921 0.059817
2025-08-24 0.015550 0.019560 0.024471 0.030958 0.039351 0.049903 0.064274
2025-08-31 0.014367 0.018494 0.023675 0.030701 0.040040 0.052118 0.069061
2025-09-07 0.013375 0.017579 0.022978 0.030472 0.040686 0.054238 0.073774
2025-09-14 0.012548 0.016811 0.022400 0.030329 0.041387 0.056413 0.078631
2025-09-21 0.011746 0.016015 0.021721 0.029977 0.041742 0.058085 0.082830
2025-09-28 0.011182 0.015503 0.021384 0.030059 0.042677 0.060584 0.088323
2025-10-05 0.010586 0.014907 0.020888 0.029870 0.043185 0.062466 0.092982
2025-10-12 0.010149 0.014506 0.020638 0.030006 0.044157 0.065050 0.098822
2025-10-19 0.009729 0.014130 0.020431 0.030237 0.045346 0.068126 0.105792
2025-10-26 0.009211 0.013582 0.019944 0.030023 0.045854 0.070206 0.111365
2025-11-02 0.008876 0.013286 0.019813 0.030336 0.047181 0.073624 0.119311
2025-11-09 0.008387 0.012726 0.019245 0.029926 0.047326 0.075148 0.124202
2025-11-16 0.007915 0.012166 0.018645 0.029422 0.047274 0.076329 0.128560
2025-11-23 0.007540 0.011738 0.018224 0.029178 0.047623 0.078171 0.134156
2025-11-30 0.007199 0.011344 0.017837 0.028962 0.047995 0.080057 0.139930
2025-12-07 0.006899 0.011002 0.017512 0.028826 0.048486 0.082160 0.146214
2025-12-14 0.006579 0.010611 0.017087 0.028493 0.048610 0.083617 0.151389
2025-12-21 0.006362 0.010377 0.016908 0.028571 0.049451 0.086378 0.159171
2025-12-28 0.006108 0.010071 0.016594 0.028392 0.049816 0.088293 0.165454